MLS Sept 4

[rolltide]

YTD 24-21 +21.80 (+11.5%) staked 189.17
Regular 24-17 +23.80
Parlay 0-4 -2.00

this round has me completely confused so I'm just going wtih my gut on a small total play

NE vs SEA
- both played midweek with NE losing Superliga final and Seattle getting into US Open Cup finals. My gut tells me that NE is still the fresher team as SEA have been playing many matches with heavy travel. Lean on home win but no bet

DAL vs TOR
- Dallas best team in MLS right now but missing two very important players. Tor missing 2 best playmakers and a defender themselves. Very likely Dallas will start 3 rookies in what should be a 1-0 type match.

RSL vs RBNY
- RSL going for the record in unbeaten home games against high flying RBNY. Both missing important offensive pieces to international play which scraps my thoughts on many goals. Guessing the height means a close home win

Colorado vs Chivas USA
- Still could have a small bet here on Rapids but waiting for 2 pieces of info...

DC United vs Columbus
- remember, this is a gut feel play...stats will point to under but I'll explain why I go over. Teams met in 120' midweek match which was as nasty of a game as I've seen. Only 1 red card though should have been more and DC has vowed revenge. Now for a team that has no prayer of playoffs and just got knocked out of only trophy shot I'm guessing they let loose and play wide open, nasty style which should equal great chances and penalty kicks. So many missed chances by DC this week even with 10 men so they have the ability to score as they did in midweek. DC have scored the least home goals and allowed the most, especially in 2H where they allow more than 1 goal per that half on average. The Crew 2nd in MLS in shots while DC United actually midtable in that stat and crew #1 in 2H shots vs worst 2H defense so if we can get 1 goal by HT I think we see 2 in 2H. This series has shown 5 straight unders and the Crew with 3 straight road unders. DC on a positive home scoring streak scoring in 5 straight but just 4-7 overs at home this season. Their young forwards really tested the Crew backline on Wednesday night but horrible misses by Najar and Quaranta kept them at 1 goal. I'm really betting on DC playing open style as if their season is over, which it basically is courtesy of Columbus' win in midweek. Gut play = low stakes

DC United over 2.25 goals 2.6u -115

 

[rolltide]

Colorado vs Chivas USA
- CUSA playing 3rd match in a week and in the highest altitude in MLS against a rested Rapids team coming back from their 3-0 resounding victory over Houston. The Rapids have lost just once all season at home. Chivas were, frankly, awful last Sunday in their 1-0 home win over DC United. They were outplayed by the worst team in the league but lucky to watch some amazing DC chances go wide or off the crossbar. Then, in their biggest match of the season, Seattle thrashed them 3-1 knocking them out of the US Open Cup final. Now they sit at the bottom of the west, completely dejected and with little hope of playoffs, but must turn around and play in big Denver altitude where they lost 4-0 a year ago. Colorado have underachieved all year but use their home altitude well, now 8-6-1 since Aug 2009 with all 6 of those draws being scoring draws which means they've scored in 14 of last 15 home matches. Only once in the past 18 home games have they allowed more than 1 goal so likely only a 1-1 draw loses our bet. Chivas USA is a team I had a lot of high hopes for but big squad changes since beginning of season, poor coaching, and many injuries have put them at just 22 points in 21 games. They are without 4 players tonight and await late fitness on their two best players, Maldonado and Bornstein. Their midfield is a complete joke without these guys (Bornstein's been playing left mf instead of normal df) and only Braun up front is a truly dangerous player. Big news for Colorado is that GK Pickens, who was expected to be out, will play as will Omar Cummings. Cummings declined an invite to Jamaican national team as he is getting his green card today and couldn't leave country. Casey and Cummings can, when in good form, be one of the best duos in MLS and CUSA very weak defense away allowing a goal in 5 straight. CUSA were playing decent football in a 9 game stretch of July but things completely unraveling for them since Aug 1, posting a 1-1-3 record with the lone win against DC United where they were outshot 13-9 and outcornered 9-2. Odds moved heavy toward CUSA so opposing again...

Colorado 3.5u -115

 

[rolltide]

DC 0-1
COL 3-0

YTD 25-22 +22.31 (+11.3%) staked 196.18
Regular 25-18 +24.31
Parlay 0-4 -2.00

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

the goal columbus scored might be right up there with the goal that i believe either drogba or anelka put into the open net last year v. pompey after robert green went to kick the ball away after a back pass and totally whiffed...totally horrific...u would think after a gimme like that the rest of the night would be cream cheese...and yet i think they combined to get a grand total of 4 shots on net combined between the 2 teams...i give ya props for watching that league...i just can't bring myself to it...i watch it for a few mins. and i am off to sumthing else..cheers